Losses
Polymarket Hacked Again: What the $2.7 Million Drain Means for Your Taxes
Polymarket's Oct 29 hack drained about $2.7 million; June's took $2.94 million. Who gets refunded, if refunds are taxable, and when a theft is deductible.
The WagerMints Team
Prediction-market tax research
October 30, 2026/8 min read
Polymarket was hacked on October 29, 2026, and about $2.7 million was drained from user accounts. Polymarket says it is refunding every affected trader. If you get all of it back, you have no theft loss to deduct and, in most cases, nothing to report. A tax question only comes up if part of the money is never returned. Then the unreturned part can be a theft loss deduction, but only up to what you put in, only once it’s clear the rest isn’t coming back, and only if you itemize.
What happened in the Polymarket hack
On the afternoon of Thursday, October 29, traders on Polymarket’s international exchange started reporting unauthorized withdrawals. At 2:05 p.m. Eastern, Polymarket put the exchange into cancel-only mode and paused relayer actions, according to a BleepingComputer timeline. Trading came back at about 3 p.m., roughly an hour later.
The code that drained accounts came from a third-party script loaded on Polymarket’s site. A person familiar with the matter told CNBC the source was a hack of DebugBear, a website performance monitoring service. DebugBear said on X that it was “impacted by an ongoing security incident” and told customers of its real user monitoring product to remove its embed code. Polymarket’s own statement said only that “one of our third party providers was compromised.”
Researchers at Hudson Rock took the script apart, as Cyber Kendra reported. It read login details and trading keys that the browser already held, then:
- for accounts connected with a crypto wallet, sent position tokens straight to the attacker;
- for email-login accounts, placed sell orders at lower and lower prices, then tried to move the proceeds out.
Polymarket’s smart contracts weren’t touched. The script used permissions victims’ browsers already had. Polymarket’s U.S. platform, the CFTC-regulated exchange, was not compromised, CNBC reported. Polymarket said the attack appeared to come from the United Kingdom and referred it to British authorities.
How much was stolen?
Polymarket hasn’t published a total or a count of accounts. Three outside estimates landed close together:
- At least $2.7 million withdrawn across 710 wallets, from an analysis by Betting Intelligence and Polysights given to CNBC.
- About $2.65 million, from Arkham data cited by The Block and NBC News.
- About $2.57 million in POL moved out of the attacker’s wallet, by BleepingComputer’s count.
One trader said about $800,000 was taken from his account, and that a friend lost about $600,000 more.
Polymarket hacks in 2026
It’s the second time in 2026 that a compromised third-party script has drained Polymarket users’ accounts.
| Date | What happened | Amount | Refunds |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Old private key for an internal top-up wallet leaked | About $700,000 in POL | Polymarket’s own funds; it said user funds weren’t affected |
| June 25, 2026 | Compromised vendor script on the site | $2.94 million first estimate, later about $3.1 million, 11 wallets | Full refunds promised |
| October 29, 2026 | DebugBear monitoring script, per CNBC’s source | About $2.7 million, 710 wallets | Full refunds promised |
Sources: Decrypt (May), Cointelegraph and CoinDesk (June), CNBC (October).
Is Polymarket refunding the stolen funds?
Yes, by its own account. “We’ll make this right and are fully reimbursing all affected traders,” Polymarket posted, and its status page said “anyone who has been impacted will be made whole.” It told users on Discord how the refunds work, according to CNBC:
- Less than $10,000 taken: funds restored by October 30.
- More than $10,000 taken: you have to sign a release form to get the money back.
A release generally means you give up further claims over the incident in exchange for the payment. Read it before you sign, and keep a copy with the payment record. Both matter for your taxes, as the next sections show.
Is a Polymarket refund taxable?
Usually not, if it only puts back what was taken. Three cases:
- Full refund, nothing deducted: you’re back where you started. There’s no theft loss, and getting your own money back isn’t income.
- Refund more than your basis: if Polymarket pays back the value of positions that had grown, and that’s more than you paid for them, the difference is a gain. IRS Publication 547 says it directly: “If your reimbursement is more than your adjusted basis in the property, you have a gain.”
- Refund after you deducted the loss: you don’t amend the earlier return. You report the refund as income in the year you receive it, to the extent the deduction cut your tax (Reg. §1.165-1(d)(2)(iii)).
Can you deduct stolen crypto on your taxes?
Sometimes. The IRS’s own lawyers walked through theft losses for scam victims in a March 2025 memo, Chief Counsel Advice 202511015. Three tests come out of it, and all three have to be met:
- It has to be a theft under the law of your state: an illegal taking. Draining an account with malicious code would normally qualify, but your state’s criminal law decides.
- The money has to be in a transaction entered into for profit. Since 2018, individuals can’t deduct personal theft losses outside declared disasters, and the 2025 tax law made that limit permanent. A theft of money you held to make a profit is the exception (26 U.S.C. §165(c)(2)). In the memo, victims who lost money they meant to invest could deduct it; victims of a romance scam couldn’t. Money kept on Polymarket to trade looks like the first kind, but it’s a question of your facts.
- There has to be no reasonable prospect of getting it back. A theft loss counts in the year you discover it, but not while a real claim for recovery is open. A refund promise like Polymarket’s is exactly that kind of claim, so you wait until it’s settled.
If you’re only partly refunded
The regulations say a loss covered by a claim is sustained once you can tell “with reasonable certainty” whether you’ll be paid, for example “by a settlement of the claim, by an adjudication of the claim, or by an abandonment of the claim” (Reg. §1.165-1(d)(2)(i)). A signed release and a final payment is a settlement.
Say $25,000 of money you held to trade was taken, and after you sign the release you’re paid $20,000. The $5,000 that won’t come back can be a theft loss in the year the claim was settled, if the other tests are met. Any part of a loss that was never covered by a claim counts in the year of the theft itself.
How much of a theft loss can you deduct?
Your basis, which is what you put in, not the market value of what was taken. The IRS memo is direct about it: you can’t deduct income or an unrealized gain that you never reported.
- You deposited $5,000 and your open positions grew to $8,000 before they were drained. The theft loss is $5,000. The $3,000 of paper gain was never taxed, so it isn’t deductible either.
- You had already closed trades for a $3,000 profit and kept the $8,000 in cash on the platform. That $3,000 is income you report for the year, so your basis in the cash is the full $8,000.
The $100 and 10%-of-income reductions that shrink theft losses on personal property don’t apply to property held for profit, per Publication 547.
Trades the attacker made in your account
On email-login accounts, the script sold positions before moving the money. Those sales show in your Polymarket history as if you placed them, and they change your gain or loss for the year. The IRS hasn’t said how to treat trades someone else placed in your account without permission. Make a list of every trade and transfer you didn’t make, with times and transaction hashes, and keep it next to Polymarket’s refund record so whoever prepares your return can see both.
Where a theft loss goes on your return
A theft of money held for investment goes on Form 4684, Section B, and from there to Schedule A, line 16. Schedule A means itemizing. If you take the standard deduction, the loss gives you no tax benefit.
The 2026 standard deduction is $16,100 for a single filer and $32,200 for a married couple filing jointly. Your itemized deductions, including the theft loss, have to beat that before the loss saves you anything. A $5,000 theft on its own often won’t.
What to do if your Polymarket account was hacked
- Take dated screenshots of your balance, positions and history before anything changes.
- Write down your wallet address and the transaction hashes of the transfers out.
- Report it to Polymarket support and keep the ticket number.
- Keep the release form, if you sign one, and the record of every refund payment.
- File a report with the FBI’s Internet Crime Complaint Center and your local police. A report helps show it was a theft.
- Ignore anyone who contacts you offering to recover stolen crypto for a fee. Polymarket’s refunds come from Polymarket, and no one needs your seed phrase or private key to process them.
- Keep the rest of your year’s trades separate from the theft. Your gains and losses from trading are reported under one of the four methods; the theft is its own item.
Outside the US? Theft and refund rules differ by country. Polymarket taxes in the UK, Canada, Australia and India.
Questions about the Polymarket hack and taxes
Was Polymarket hacked?
Yes. On October 29, 2026, a compromised third-party script on Polymarket's international site drained user accounts. Polymarket halted trading for about an hour and said it is fully reimbursing affected traders. Its U.S. platform was not affected.
How much was stolen in the Polymarket hack?
Polymarket hasn't confirmed a total. An analysis by Betting Intelligence and Polysights for CNBC found at least $2.7 million withdrawn across 710 wallets, and Arkham data cited by The Block put it at about $2.65 million. The June 2026 hack was first estimated at $2.94 million and later about $3.1 million.
Is Polymarket refunding users after the hack?
Polymarket said it is fully reimbursing all affected traders. It told users on Discord that losses under $10,000 would be restored by October 30, and that larger losses require signing a release form, according to CNBC.
Can I claim stolen crypto or Polymarket funds on my taxes?
Possibly, as a theft loss, if the money was held to trade for profit, there is no reasonable prospect of getting it back, and you itemize deductions. The deduction is limited to your basis, what you put in, not what your positions were worth. If Polymarket refunds you in full, there is nothing to deduct.
Is a Polymarket hack refund taxable?
A refund that only puts back what you lost, for a loss you never deducted, generally isn't income. If you deducted the loss in an earlier year, the refund is income in the year you receive it, to the extent the deduction lowered your tax. If a refund is more than your basis in what was taken, the excess is a gain.
Can I claim a theft loss if I take the standard deduction?
No. A theft loss on money held to trade goes on Schedule A, so it only helps if you itemize. The 2026 standard deduction is $16,100 for a single filer and $32,200 for a married couple filing jointly.
For the rest of your Polymarket year, WagerMints reads your wallet’s full history, including positions that lost and were never redeemed, and prices it four ways. How Polymarket trades are taxed.
Sources
- CNBC, Some Polymarket user funds stolen by hackers; exchange referring matter to U.K. authorities (Oct 29, 2026)
- NBC News, Polymarket pauses trading amid reports of users' wallets drained (Oct 29, 2026)
- BleepingComputer, Polymarket halts trading after crypto-draining script breach (Oct 29, 2026)
- Cyber Kendra, Polymarket hacked via DebugBear script (updated Oct 30, 2026)
- Hudson Rock (Infostealers), wallet-draining code in a third-party script (Oct 2026)
- Crypto Briefing, Polymarket restricts trading to cancel-only mode (Oct 29, 2026)
- Cointelegraph, Polymarket vendor compromise drains $2.9M from users (Jun 26, 2026)
- CoinDesk, the June 2026 Polymarket hack updated to $3.1 million
- Decrypt, Polymarket internal top-up wallet exploit, $700K drained (May 2026)
- IRS Chief Counsel Advice 202511015 (theft losses of scam victims), March 2025
- Taxpayer Advocate Service, Chief Counsel advice on theft loss deductions for scam victims
- IRS Publication 547, casualties, disasters and thefts (gain when reimbursement exceeds basis)
- IRS, Form 4684 (line 32: income-producing property to Schedule A, line 16)
- IRS, Instructions for Form 4684
- IRS, Casualty loss deduction expanded and made permanent
- IRS, tax inflation adjustments for tax year 2026 (standard deduction)
- 26 U.S.C. §165, losses (including (c)(2), (e) and (h)(5))
- 26 CFR §1.165-1(d), when a loss is sustained, settled claims and later reimbursements
- FBI Internet Crime Complaint Center (IC3)
Run this against your own trades
WagerMints computes all four methods from your real Kalshi export or Polymarket wallet, side by side. Your trade data is processed in memory, not stored unless you opt in to share it.
Run your reportFull guides: Kalshi taxes, Polymarket taxes, the four methods and the tax glossary. Or try the free prediction market tax calculator.
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